Cisco has released its annual VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, covering the period from 2014 - 2019. The forecast is a companion study to the complete VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2013 – 2018 released last June.
The mobile forecast revealed that last year’s mobile data traffic was nearly 30 times the size of the entire global Internet in 2000. Another 2014 milestone: the number of mobile-connected devices exceeded the world’s population by the end of last year.
Mobile video traffic, which exceeded mobile data traffic in 2012, grew to 55% of total mobile traffic in 2014 by the end of 2014. Video will account for nearly three-fourths of the world’s mobile data traffic by 2019, according to the study.
Web traffic, data traffic, and VoIP traffic will account for slightly less than a quarter of overall mobile traffic in 2019, with file sharing and audio streaming making up the remainder of traffic as classified by applications.
Wi-Fi also plays an increasingly important role in mobile data availability: more traffic will be offloaded from cellular networks (on to Wi-Fi) than remains on cellular networks by 2016. The study also predicts that voice over Wi-Fi will surpass voice over LTE (VoLTE) by 2018 as measured by minutes of use. Much of that traffic will be generated by tablets and PCs vs. cellular devices. Mobile VoIP minutes of use will stay in the single digit percentage, capturing 6% of mobile voice minutes by 2019.
Connection speeds will continue to increase, especially as 4G networks more widely available, with the average mobile connection speed increasing from 1.7 Mbps in 2014 to 4.0 Mbps by 2019.
The study also looks at the effect of wearables, the implications of IPv6, and the amount of traffic that will be generated by various mobile devices. Regional projections are also provided. To read more about the study results in a comprehensive white paper, please click here. Our thanks to Cisco for sharing this insightful analysis.