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Thursday, August 21, 2008
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Why search technologies are going to recombine

I gave a talk Monday starting from the premise that there are at least 8 separate text technology markets. But one of the concluding points was that many of these distinct markets are poised to recombine. Here are some examples of what I mean.

  • Google is the leader in web search. It is a leader in enterprise search, site search, web mail, and instant messaging as well.
  • Microsoft is one of the two runners-up in web search. Counting the FAST acquisition, it is a leader in enterprise search and site search as well. It is the leader in on-premises email, and a leader in web mail and instant messaging.
  • Web search, site search, enterprise search, and custom publishing are four different things, even though they share the same foundation (keyword text search). But they should reconverge somewhat over time. For example, the “faceted” search that works well in more controlled settings has never proven very useful for web search engines – but that just means they should keep trying until they get it right. Ditto for the growing trend of integrating text and database search.
  • Social networking technologies aren't exempt. For example, Facebook just added inbox search, and there's a lot of agreement with my view that Twitter needs much better filtering.
  • Portals are in the mix too. Microsoft evidently sees search as an aspect of SharePoint. SAP sees search, knowledge management, and portals as being related too. And of course the search engine/portal relationship on the web goes back to the mid-1990s.

So -- how far along do YOU think these trends are?

Related links: Each of the first two links above is a blog post with a lot of follow-up links listed at the bottom.


About Curt Monash

Curt Monash is a leading analyst of and strategic advisor to the software industry. Praised by Lawrence J. Ellison for his "unmatched insight into technology and marketplace trends," Curt was the software/services industry's #1 ranked stock analyst while at PaineWebber, Inc., where he served as a First Vice President until 1987. He subsequently co-founded Evernet, Inc., a $40 million networking systems integrator. Since 1990, he has owned and operated Monash Research, an analysis and advisory firm covering software-intensive sectors of the technology industry. In that period he also has been co-founder, president, or chairman of several other technology startups.

Curt has served as a strategic advisor to many well-known firms, including Oracle, Microsoft, SAP, AOL, CA, and Netezza. Curt earned a Ph.D. in mathematics (Game Theory) from Harvard University. He has held faculty positions in mathematics, economics and public policy at Harvard, Yale, and Suffolk universities.

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