Skip Links

Network World

Brad Reese

Once north of $300B, Nortel's stock market capitalization plummets under $1B

By Brad Reese on Tue, 10/07/08 - 3:12am.
Newsletter Signup

Nortel Downgraded by RBC Capital Markets Managing Director - Mark Sue

Mark SueAs a casualty of Wall Street's ongoing turmoil, Nortel stock lost 10% of its value by the closing sound of today's trading bell. Additionally, RBC Capital Markets Managing Director Mark Sue downgraded his Nortel stock rating from Sector Perform to Underperform and when combined they both helped thrust Nortel's stock market capitalization under $1 billion.


In the opinion of yours truly, for a company that had once single-handedly accounted for more than a third of the total valuation of all companies listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), this has been a "gargantuan fall from grace."

To add further perspective to the scale of this decline, the Nortel stock market capitalization on March 27th, 2000 stood north of $300 billion.

Nortel (NT) stock chart for the past 28 years:


In his downgrade note, Sue highlighted the following challenges facing Nortel:

"Fighting in wireless and attempting to grab a substantive share of 4G (also known as Beyond 3G, an abbreviation for Fourth-Generation) may prove to be challenging for Nortel considering its subscale market position."
"Further deterioration in the CDMA market (code division multiple access - CDMA is a channel access method utilized by various radio communication technologies) may also put margin pressures on the company, according to our calculations."
"We're taking a wait-and-see approach when it comes to the enterprise and whether or not Nortel may be able wrestle meaningful market share away from Cisco. The challenge is that HP ProCurve, Juniper Networks and Brocade and others all want to lay claims to the #2 position for corporate networking."
"A deteriorating balance sheet is not helping and Nortel has been free cash flow negative thus far in 2008 (and in 7 out of the previous 10 quarters). The company has cash of $3.1B but it's also saddled with substantial debt of $4.5B. In addition, we expect Nortel to burn another $500M in 3Q08."
"Nortel has decided to sell some assets (Metro Ethernet), but the timing likely couldn't have been any worse considering the challenged status of most potential bidders."
"It is our view that credit turbulence, a potential economic slowdown overseas, and extra carrier spending scrutiny may create difficult headwinds for the company in executing its turnaround plans."

Related stories:

Blogger warns: "Nortel doesn't make it out alive"

Could Nortel benefit from Cisco's learning curve?


Is there a lesson for Cisco in Nortel's gargantuan fall from grace?

Contact Brad Reese
http://www.BradReese.Com

Search 29,972 Cisco Job Openings

Post Cisco Network Engineer Jobs

View 1,596 items of Refurbished Cisco

Examine CCIE Resumes

Consider 703 Cisco Certified
Network Engineer Resumes

  
Brad's Favorite Top 5 Picks
# 1. Cisco CTO Padmasree Warrior: Did Governor Palin just wink at me ?? I feel insulted
# 2. Cisco CEO John Chambers to be next Treasury Secretary spending $700 billion of US taxpayer money?
# 3. Network-embedded virtualization: Cisco WAAS virtual blades host Microsoft Windows Server 2008
# 4. Use NetFlow for visibility into network blind spots: Virtualization, 10Gb+ Ethernet, MPLS and Multipoint VPN
# 5. Is Cisco the Madonna of networking?
Brad Reese on Cisco Story Archives Brad Reese on Cisco Story Archives

Cisco Resumes

Cisco Network Engineer Contractors Available For Hire

2008 Cisco Salary Rates

Cisco Jobs

  

Lesson is...

0

Cisco should buy Nortel, what a deal. Take their optical and PBX business, phase out their crappy switching and routing lines and sell the rest off to anyone that might buy it...Gordon Gecko style.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Welcome, visitor. Register Log in
About Brad Reese on Cisco

Brad Reese cofounded BradReese.Com Cisco Refurbished, which enables affordable networks globally by assuring customer satisfaction with guaranteed one year warranties on both Cisco Repair as well as Refurbished Cisco.

Don't be shy, contact Brad Reese online or call him Toll Free:

866-864-0506

International callers may wish to call Brad by dialing:

850-364-4115

Archives
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
Categories
America's Best profile written by Useem regarding Chambers' success
Avian Securities Senior Telecom Research Analyst - Catharine Trebnick
Breakingviews.com correspondent - Robert Cyran
CCIE
Careers
Charlie Giancarlo - Managing Director of Silver Lake Partners and Skype investor
Cisco
Cisco ASR 9000 architecture
Cisco ISR G2 Module Support
Cisco Integrated Services Router Generation 2 (ISR G2) Model Comparison
Cisco Integrated Services Routers Generation 2 Portfolio
Cisco Unified Communications Support for Microsoft Windows 7
Cisco is pushing their ASR 9000 at very competitive prices
Cisco is warning Unified Communications customers about NOT successfully offering support for Microsoft Windows 7
Cisco technical star Jonathan Rosenberg
Cisco will have no liability for any delay in delivery
Daniel Berg - Skype's CTO
Data Center
Douglas Smith - Cofounder and President of Network Instruments
Expand visibility of NetFlow-dependent NBAD and compliance applications
Father of SIP - Jonathan Rosenberg
GigaStor captures and converts packets in NetFlow data flows
Index Venture partner Danny Rimer
Jonathan Rosenberg - a Cisco Fellow in Cisco's Voice Technology Group
Juniper MX960 lab test results
LANs / WANs
Mark Roberts - Polycom vice president of partner marketing
Michael Useem - Professor of Management
Microsoft
NetFlow
NetFlow add-ons
NetFlow overhead can overtax infrastructure
Network Behavior Anomaly Detection (NBAD)
Network Management
Non-NetFlow capable devices are blind to local traffic
Produce NetFlow about any device
Rosenberg is now Skype's Chief Technology Strategist
SMB
Security
Selection committee member for America's Best Leaders
September 2009 vs. October 2009 Worldwide CCIE Count Comparison
Silver Lake Managing Director - Egon Durban
Skills and abilities of Skype CTO Daniel Berg
Skype announced Roseberg jumped ship from Cisco
Skype's Chief Technology Strategist - responsible for Skype's overall architecture and technology strategy
Skype's cofounders Niklas Zennstrom and Janus Friis
Software
The Charlie angle is to keep Dave Roux on track
The new Cisco ISR G2 portfolio is priced as follows
VoIP / Convergence
What are the benefits of GigaStor NetFlow Agent?
What’s new on the Cisco ISR G2 models vs. the old ISR models?
Windows 7
Windows 7 just not worth an all-out urgent effort by Cisco to support
Wireless / Mobile
eBay CEO - John Donahoe
sFlow
sFlow and NetFlow provides extended visibility
On The Web
Twitter