Is 2009 going to be the "Year of Subscription Pricing" -- finally? Didn't the antivirus software companies prove the undeniable benefits of subscription-based pricing and reoccurring revenue streams years ago? I know the antivirus companies' success was a big factor in giving subscription pricing a try when I was part of introducing security products over the last few years. (See this blog post by Alan Shimel where he talks about these experiences. Eric Lai also has a good article in ComputerWorld.) But for those vendors who have tried this model, repeating the results of the antivirus vendors has been problematic, to say the least. There are a few success stories -- Salesforce.com, hosting services and online MMORPG games -- but very few traditional software vendors were able to make subscription pricing work without also moving to a software-as-a-service (SaaS) hosting model. The move to SaaS software applications and Microsoft's own Online Services offerings are signs the industry is very much a believer in the subscription pricing model, now very much a part of a SaaS model. The question is, are customers?
There are still obstacles vendors face when they try to sell software, hosted or not, using a subscription model. Here are my Top 5 lessons learned, based on my own experiences.
Clearly Microsoft and many of the other vendors making the shift to SaaS online apps believe these obstacles can and will be overcome. On the surface, they don't appear to be big barriers to this happening. But habits can be very hard to break. Microsoft's getting into the online services market is actually a big plus for helping this transition happen, helping legitimize the subscription model and moving IT managers and purchasing departments to this approach.
2009 might not be "the" year of subscription pricing in terms of overtaking the revenues generated through traditional software sales, but it may very well be the tipping point for legitimizing this method of purchasing software.
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