More rough router numbers for Cisco, Juniper, others

The carrier router and switch market in Q1 was down 13% from a year ago, and 17% sequentially, the deepest sequential decline in years, according to Infonetics Research. Carriers have pulled back spending to the point of being in full "protective behavior," according to the firm.

Asia Pacific was the only major region with increased spending on service provider routers and switches in Q1, up 3% sequentially and 11% year-over-year, Infonetics noted. But the firm is the second in a week to also note that Alcatel-Lucent, Huawei and Ericsson (Redback) all grew their share of IP core and edge router revenue in a down market at the expense of Cisco, and perhaps even Juniper.

Infonetics did not provide a break out of Q1 market share. But Dittberner Associates also noted that Cisco carrier router rivals exceeded market growth in Q1 while Cisco itself is "slipping."

On the upside, if carriers keep to their capital expenditure guidance for the rest of 2009, spending should pick up in the second half of the year, Infonetics posits. The market research firm isn't the only one to share that view. 

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