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There's no business like show business

The Bleeding Edge By Daniel Briere and Patrick Hurley , Network World , 12/09/2003
D. Briere
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Movies are big business. The exact numbers depend upon whose reports you look at, and how you slice up the market - but movie and video industry revenue in the U.S. is probably in excess of $100 billion annually. That’s what we would call “real money.”

It’s no surprise that broadband providers want a piece of this market as they try to expand their services from the realm of Internet “pipes” into something that moves beyond the computer and throughout the home. Multicable system operators (MSO), of course, have the advantage here today with their existing Pay-per-View (PPV), and broadcast analog and digital cable TV services. MSOs have also aggressively deployed set top-based Video on Demand (VoD) services, with many already in major markets.

DSL providers, it will come as no surprise to learn, are a bit further behind on this count. Bandwidth is the biggest limiting factor - MSOs have more bandwidth to the home, and the bandwidth they use for video doesn’t, for the most part, impinge on the bandwidth used to provide Internet services (VoD is an exception here). DSL providers, on the other hand, need to carve out some of their Internet bandwidth to send any sort of video to customers.

These bandwidth limitations can be tackled in two ways: by decreasing the size of video files using compression or by reducing resolution; or by caching content locally so that real-time streaming is not required. These approaches both work best for non-broadcast video content like movies - it’s easier to compress and cache this content than it is to transcode live video streams on the fly.

Probably the most prominent provider of compressed and cached video is Movielink, a year-old joint venture between five of the biggest studios in the business - MGM, Sony Pictures, Paramount, Warner Brothers and Universal. Movielink is focused on one thing:  bringing movies to broadband customers. And while the focus today is on movies to the desktop, a bunch of technological changes and refinements are combining to make Movielink a legitimate competitor, rather than complement to, more traditional TV-based movie delivery services like PPV or DVD rentals.

Today, Movielink encodes movie content at about 750K bit/sec using Microsoft Media Player and Real Player technologies. This provides a good picture (it can be considered roughly equivalent to cable or satellite broadcast), but inferior to DVD and HDTV. Increasing this picture quality is not a big technical leap but given the current real throughput of most broadband networks in the U.S., it isn’t an attractive prospect. But with advances in compression and a bit of a bump in broadband bandwidth, DVD-quality movies could be a reality. With enough bandwidth - and crucially with some QoS support in the consumer broadband access network - Movielink could easily compete directly with other VoD offerings. Even HDTV movies are not out of the question. HD DVDs are just now getting off the ground, and many HDTV owners are starving for content.

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