Home network predictions
New IDC report defines the nuts and bolts of the connected home
HomeLAN Adventures
By
Keith Shaw
,
Network World
, 10/11/2004
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Before, home networks kept a low profile, enabling us to share broadband, a printer, maybe transfer a file. But now that digital
features are being added to just about every consumer electronics device, the network is fast becoming an integral part of
our lives.
In its new report, "Worldwide Home Networking 2004-2008 Forecast and Analysis," IDC expects home network households to grow
25% to 111 million by 2008. Other key findings include:
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Wireless LANs emerge as the carrier for streaming video. Upcoming improvements in QoS and throughput make wireless a good
choice, even though wired technologies will continue to be more reliable and easier to implement. The report didn’t break
out wireless by 802.11a and 802.11g, but it’s likely dual-band a/g networks will dominate.
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Home networks increase overseas. Today, the U.S. has 37% of home network households worldwide. IDC predicts that number will
drop to 33% as the technology matures in other regions, namely Asia/Pacific.
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Broadband service providers offer modems with integrated routers. Integrating the router will help service providers keep
subscribers, reduce customer service costs and increase revenue by offering new services.
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Power-line networks take off in Europe. Structural issues in Europe can impair wireless systems, making power line more attractive
there than in the U.S. Faster versions of the HomePlug specification will support media streaming. U.S. adoption will remain
limited in most regions, although as in Europe, power line will make progress where wireless isn’t feasible.
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Multimedia over Coax (MoCA) emerges in the U.S. in 2005. Also called cable home networking, this technology offers secure
and fast connections for entertainment networks. It will do well in the U.S. because of its high number of cable connections
compared to other parts of the world.
Looking to the future, IDC envisions three specific types of networks emerging:
1. The PC network, which describes today’s network, enabling PCs to share files, printers and a broadband connection.
2. The multimedia network, which includes a PC for storing multimedia files (music, photos and video) and transmits them to
TVs, stereos and other networked devices. These networks will also include dedicated storage or server devices.
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