While industry experts call their concerns overblown, some alternate local carriers are predicting higher prices and possible service cutbacks while mulling a future without network-sharing regulations that have limited their costs.
A Washington, D.C., appeals court in March had ordered an end to portions of the FCC's unbundled network elements platform (UNE-P) policy. A string of efforts by competitive local exchange carriers (CLEC), including AT&T, MCI and Sprint, to overturn the ruling have been blocked - the latest being Supreme Court Chief Justice William Rehnquist's refusal of a petition for a stay of the court's decision.
UNE-P is a regulation in the Telecommunications Act of 1996 designed to give competitors access to the local-access network, which is dominated by the RBOCs. Under UNE-P, RBOCs were to sell access to their local facilities to CLECs at government-determined rates in exchange for entry into the long-distance business.
Now that UNE-P has been all but dissolved, RBOCs are expected to raise wholesale local facility leasing rates to CLECs, which would raise retail fees. RBOCs and CLECs now will negotiate commercial wholesale arrangements while the FCC considers an alternate regulatory framework.
"We are still sorting out the details of our various business relationships and how those might be impacted," a Sprint spokesman says. "In general, we don't think the UNE-P decision will have a significant impact in our overall plans on the business or consumer side, but we haven't reached a consensus on the details yet."
MCI says it is too early to say for certain if the decision will affect business service pricing.
"If the FCC's rules are allowed to lapse and wholesale rates rise, MCI may be forced to raise prices in some markets and pull out of others," said Stasia Kelly, MCI executive vice president and general counsel, in a written statement.
According to AT&T, the regulatory course undoubtedly will lead to higher prices and then some.
"It confirms that the [Bush] administration has set the industry on a path to higher prices, less competition, fewer jobs and depressed investment," says a company spokesman. The ruling reportedly already has forced AT&T to consider exiting local service in some states.
Analysts, however, say any price hikes will be negligible and felt mostly by consumers and small to midsize businesses (SMB).
"The number of customers who are affected by these types of relationships are not enormous," says Thomas Nolle, president of consultancy CIMI. "It tends to be more the SMB than it is the enterprise."
That's because CLECs such as AT&T and MCI that serve large companies usually have their own facilities on which to provision services to those companies. Nolle says these carriers have facilities serving corporations in the 150 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S.
On the other hand, smaller businesses and branch offices of larger companies are in the same boat as residential users: If a CLEC provides their local service, it is over lines leased from an RBOC or incumbent LEC.