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Cisco Q3 report card: Lots of A's and B's

Cisco's SMB and services business on the rise, numbers show
By Jim Duffy , Network World , 05/07/2008
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Cisco on Tuesday posted a solid third quarter, with revenues and earnings slightly better than Wall Street expectations. But the company was challenged in some product and geographical areas, and Cisco also felt the impact of softness in the U.S. and European enterprise markets.(Compare Cisco products.)

Cisco remains cautiously optimistic, tempering its guidance for the current fourth fiscal quarter to 9% to 10% revenue growth, down from its long-term target of 12% to 17%.

As for the short-term, we grade Cisco on its third quarter performance:

Overall quarter: A-

Revenue of $9.8 billion was up 10% from last year's third quarter, and above the mid-point of Cisco guidance, in an economy teetering on recession. Earnings beat estimates and were up 12% for the year ago period.

Enterprise: B

Product orders globally rose 9%. In the United States, orders, excluding federal government, were only up in the mid-single digits because of the cautious environment on the overall economy. Federal orders were up 20%. Cisco expects spending in the United States to pick up by year-end. Emerging markets, up to now a significant growth engine for Cisco, decreased by mid-teens figures.

"Lackluster U.S. order growth (down from 12% last quarter) reflected a sharp decline in U.S. service provider orders and weak U.S. enterprise orders (down from 11% last quarter)," states Oppenheimer & Co. analyst Ittai Kidron in a report on Cisco's quarter. "It is clear that challenges in the macro environment are affecting Cisco."

Service provider: C

Orders grew only 6%. In the United States, they declined by 3% after 12 quarters in a row of over 20% growth. A bright spot – high-end router revenue grew 25%, led by the CRS-1, which grew 150%.

Commercial: A

The market segment with the highest growth in orders, at 18%. This business unit targets small-to-midsize enterprises.

Consumer: B+

The next highest order growth, at 13%, for the business unit that includes the Linksys wireless product line.

Among the major product categories…

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Alarming Cisco 3rd quarter 2008 channel stuffingBy Brad Reese on May 8, 2008, 12:46 pmIt is the opinion of yours truly that Cisco has engaged in channel stuffing in order to achieve its desired 3rd Qtr 2008 financial numbers: Alarming Cisco 3rd...

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