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IT jobs outlook modest for 2011

Some improvement over 2010, but offshore outsourcing expected to hurt IT jobs recovery

By Patrick Thibodeau, Computerworld
December 08, 2010 06:21 AM ET

Computerworld - Perhaps the best thing that will be said about 2010 and IT hiring is that large layoffs have tapered off and the overall trend seems to favor hiring.

Also read: Top 10 technology skills

For sure, IT workers are still losing their jobs, particularly in the weakest areas of economy, such as in state and local government. Camden, NJ, for example, recently announced a plan to lay off one in four city workers to cover a large budget shortfall.

About four IT workers in Camden will be axed if this plan is adopted, and the city says in a report that that cuts will mean "the network will not function effectively." City officials did not respond to request for comment.

Tech spending is expected to rebound next year, with IDC predicting 5.7% growth next year worldwide after 3% this year. But how will that spending on tech translate into hiring with offshore outsourcing increasing ?

The latest evidence that IT hiring is improving overallc comes from a new study from Computer Economics, which surveyed IT managers at 136 firms in the U.S. and Canada with revenues above $50 million. It found that 48% of managers planned to add staff next year, with 11% planning to reduce staff.

John Longwell, vice president of research at Computer Economics, said, "The layoffs are over, people are starting to add workers to their payrolls but it is going to be modest."

The survey looked at operational spending in IT, those functions needed for day-to-day operations, and about half of that cost is in salaries, Longwell said.

Longwell said that companies are beginning to take on new IT projects, extending staff hours, hiring contractors -- and turning to outsourcing . In this quarter, 27% planned to hire and 14% said they were going to decrease staff.

Longwell characterized this year as one of "nervous stability," and said IT operational budget are still restrained and users in their survey are planning for 2% growth.

Capital spending in the IT industry is projected to increase next year, which will help tech hiring, and offshore outsourcing will send lower rung IT jobs overseas.

David Foote, CEO of IT workforce analyst firm Foote Partners, said he believes the demand for IT skills - not necessarily full-time workers -- is stronger, but difficult to track because it is being increasingly spread throughout companies.

Foote says he is seeing a lot demand for specific skills by business units in areas such as predictive analytics, architecture, social media, and security functions that are attached to finance, accounting, and auditing, and not to central IT operations.

"We know that there are pockets of IT spending all over the companies," Foote said.

But in his labor market analysis, Foote said he saw IT managers as more focused on filling specific skill needs whether through hiring full-time or part-time employees, consultants or contractors. "Instead of focusing on jobs, the accent is on skills acquisition," he said.

There has never been one absolute source for determining what is happening in the IT labor market. Most analyst use federal labor data, but the government reports can be examined in different ways. TechServe Alliance, for instance, last month said there were only 600 IT jobs gathered; Foote's analysis showed 4,400 IT-related jobs that month.

Originally published on www.computerworld.com. Click here to read the original story.

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