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Gartner: How big trends in security, mobile, big data and cloud computing will change IT

A quick roundup of IT trends, from Android adoption to cloud security

By , Network World
October 30, 2012 09:35 AM ET

Page 2 of 4

Mobile

• In 2016, more than 1.6 billion smart mobile devices will be purchased globally. Two-thirds of the mobile workforce will own a smartphone, and 40% of the workforce will be mobile. The challenge for IT leaders is determining what to do with this new channel to their customers and employees.

• Gartner forecasts that in 2016, half of all non-PC devices will be purchased by employees. By the end of the decade, half of all devices in business will be purchased by employees.

• The emergence of Apple iPads, which for most users are difficult to justify as an essential computing tool, has made BYOD a near-term priority. IT organizations want end users, in most cases, to use the tools that help them perform their jobs better or to help retain valued employees, but they do not want to increase the cost per user for computing resources.

• Shipments of Android tablets will exceed shipments of iOS tablets by year end 2014. Android and iOS will continue to dominate smartphones in the short term with Windows phone growing substantially. In the tablet space Apple's dominance will be attacked by Android as lower cost devices emerge in 2013. We expect Windows 8 will remain relatively niche and more attractive to organizations then individual consumers.

• HTML5 will be a key mobile technology, but fragmentation and immaturity will remain challenges through 2015 so HTML5 is a very long way from being a panacea for cross platform development. Some of HTML5's challenges can be reduced by using JavaScript frameworks such as Dojo, Sencha or JQuery mobile which can hide some platform and browser dependencies. Testing non-trivial HTML5 applications will be complex due to the many platform and browser variations.

• By 2016, 60% of large enterprises will implement limited access network zones to limit the connectivity of personally owned mobile devices.

• in the next five years 65% of corporations will adopt MDM to address security concerns from smartphones and tablets.

• Gartner predicts that through 2017, 90% of enterprises will have two or more mobile operating systems to support. In the past year, many companies have moved to Apple's iOS as their main mobile device platform, with others to follow over the next 12 to 18 months. As other operating systems like Windows 8 mobile platforms grow, MDM will need to be adopted, Gartner said.

• By 2015, 20% of smartphone users worldwide will conduct commerce using context-enriched services on a weekly basis.

Security

• Security investments are going to dramatically increase. An already large security market is about to get much bigger, growing by 56% from current levels in five years time, while cloud security will almost triple.

Gartner analysts said a key reason for this is regulatory compliance. IT leaders need to anticipate and plan for the coming wave of government interventions and regulations. As information technology becomes pervasive in all operations, regulations from the analog world will come to the digital world.

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