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Ericsson predicts tenfold mobile data traffic growth by 2016

Convergence & VoIP Alert By , Network World
November 11, 2011 03:27 PM ET
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Network World - We interrupt our regularly scheduled content to bring you highlights from a new Traffic and Market Data report provided by Ericsson -- forecasting a tenfold increase in mobile data traffic by 2016, with most of the traffic growth driven by video.

The report is based on measurements the company recorded over several years in live networks covering all regions of the world. Ericsson operates in more than 180 countries supporting more than 1,000 networks, enabling the company to measure mobile voice and data volumes. The results are derived from a representative base used for calculating world total mobile traffic in 2G, 3G and 4G networks.

Mobile growth driving out unlimited data

According to the study results, total smartphone traffic is expected to triple during 2011. Ericsson expects traffic generated by advanced smartphones to increase twelvefold to roughly equal mobile PC-generated traffic by 2016. The past year has seen mobile broadband subscriptions grow by 60%, with projected growth starting from 900 million in 2011 to almost 5 billion mobile broadband subscribers in 2016. Mobile broadband, new smartphone launches and applications uptake are among the factors that continue to drive mobile data consumption.

Commenting in a statement on the study results, Johan Wibergh, head of Ericsson Business Unit Networks, said: "Ericsson performs a broad range of measurements in order to monitor the pulse of the Networked Society -- measurements that we use to efficiently design our products and plan networks. This report offers snapshots that, together, show how a growing number of people and businesses benefit from mobility, broadband and the cloud."

In other news from the analytical front, Webtorials has released a summary of an online discussion asking and answering, "Does Converging the LAN and SAN Make Sense?" The discussion, which took place during the fall of 2011, was about the viability of converging the LAN and SAN and involved Arista, Avaya, Brocade, Cisco, Extreme and HP. Interested readers can find the abstract and links to the summary and full discussion here.

Read more about voip & convergence in Network World's VoIP & Convergence section.

Steve Taylor is president of Distributed Networking Associates and publisher/editor-in-chief of Webtorials. Larry Hettick, an independent analyst and consultant, is a 30-year industry veteran. He has covered VoIP and UC at Network World for 12 years.

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