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/ Feature: Keys to the telecom procurement process
These are unprecedented times in the telecom industry. It's becoming more difficult to negotiate with carriers unless you maintain leverage (see main article, "Telecom tug of war"). Going forward, experts say the following trends may affect your company's voice and data services: Many see the future of the long-distance carriers residing in the regional Baby Bells. If the regional Bell operating companies end up consolidating the industry, we might see a regional pricing strategy replace the dog-eat-dog competition we have seen of the past 10 years. In this scenario, SBC dominates its territory but doesn't aggressively market to enterprises based in, say, Verizon's territory. Carriers need to work on pricing IP VPN services competitively with legacy services such as frame relay. Right now IP VPN prices aren't lower than the leading edge for frame relay on a pure replacement analysis or directly comparing the cost of each service without factoring in other benefits. It may make sense to increase your initial spending to take advantage of a new technology that has the potential to reduce long-term costs or increase functionality. The only way IP VPNs win, says Greg Hopkins, former head of Offer Development & Negotiations for AT&T, is to measure and calculate efficiencies that are gleaned in applications, quality of service (QoS) and productivity enhancements. However, methods for measuring and calculating the efficiencies for new technologies are falling short. As new technologies such as MPLS and QoS achieve higher adoption rates, carriers are likely to reduce prices for legacy services such as frame relay, ATM, switched voice (especially international) and private lines to dissuade or delay migration. Service providers continue to walk a fine line between being aggressive in winning new business while keeping their existing enterprise customer base from eroding. Better to keep 80% of a revenue stream by writing it down, than lose 100% of it to a competitor. This has been the immutable logic over the past five years. The big question is whether the carriers will change their logic and back that up with market share losses. "Until carriers abandon their zeal for market share growth, there will always be pressure on carrier prices," Wilson says. Until this happens, the dynamics of pricing are unlikely to change. Some carriers are in a better financial position than others and will use that leverage in their negotiations with clients. The competitive-bid process will still yield the best outcomes and provide most enterprise customers with the best opportunity to negotiate attractive deals. Despite the uncertainty surrounding the telecom sector, there will be a number of viable providers, and competition will continue to be a driving factor in the market. Back to main feature: "Challenging times for telecom deals" Apply for your free subscription to Network World. Click here. Or get Network World delivered in PDF each week.
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