Error 404--Not Found

Error 404--Not Found

From RFC 2068 Hypertext Transfer Protocol -- HTTP/1.1:

10.4.5 404 Not Found

The server has not found anything matching the Request-URI. No indication is given of whether the condition is temporary or permanent.

If the server does not wish to make this information available to the client, the status code 403 (Forbidden) can be used instead. The 410 (Gone) status code SHOULD be used if the server knows, through some internally configurable mechanism, that an old resource is permanently unavailable and has no forwarding address.

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Error 404--Not Found

Error 404--Not Found

From RFC 2068 Hypertext Transfer Protocol -- HTTP/1.1:

10.4.5 404 Not Found

The server has not found anything matching the Request-URI. No indication is given of whether the condition is temporary or permanent.

If the server does not wish to make this information available to the client, the status code 403 (Forbidden) can be used instead. The 410 (Gone) status code SHOULD be used if the server knows, through some internally configurable mechanism, that an old resource is permanently unavailable and has no forwarding address.











News

SuperComm 2002 Weblog

Breaking SuperComm 2002 news
All the news from the show.

Up-to-the-minute news, analysis and observation.

Thursday, June 6, 2002

'Survivor' plays at Supercomm

By Jim Duffy
06:00 PM EST

Despite the best efforts of vendors to hawk their wares, attendees at last week's SuperComm were more concerned with lifelines than product lines.

The buzz at the show had more to do with surviving the current downturn than it did with the next big technology or innovation. There were plenty of product announcements, but virtually all were of marginal importance as vendors, perhaps consciously, shied away from trying to whip up too much of a frenzy for fear of appearing tacky in an environment where customers are not spending and companies are shedding hundreds of thousands of employees.

The slump in attendance at SuperComm reflected the slump in the industry. Attendance was off 30% from last year, from 52,822 to just under 37,000. Exhibit space was down by 37,490 square feet, but there were only 28 less exhibitors than last year, according to show officials.

Edge router start-up Allegro Networks did not exhibit at SuperComm, but hosted a wake for the telecom industry that featured a tombstone engraved with the names of defunct companies and a coffin filled with beer.

"It's like we're in a lifeboat, there's no food, there's no water and everybody's waiting to see who'll still be alive when the supply ship comes," says Daniel Briere, CEO of TeleChoice.

Some followed Allegro's lead and tried to find the lighter side of the dark landscape. Intel's CEO Craig Barrett used a video of himself in a black suit and dark glasses as the intro to his keynote address.
The video seemed to trace him traveling via the Internet from Intel's California headquarters to SuperComm.

"It seems that the industry needs a little levity and some new applications to get it out of its doldrums," Barrett said after materializing onstage.

Cisco CEO John Chambers also injected some merriment into the morosity with an entertaining keynote that featured much good-natured ribbing with a Cisco employee demonstrating Internet applications that could raise the profile of service providers with their customers, as well as Cisco's fortunes in the service provider market.

But Chambers was also realistic about the state of the industry: "This downturn has been humbling to us all and that’s when you do the soul searching and say what do you need to do better," he says.

The somber realism did not, however, stem the flow of product announcements. Some of the key ones included:

* Cisco's rollout of 10G bit/sec Ethernet and Dynamic Packet Transport interfaces for its 12000 series Internet routers. Cisco claims to be the first to market with a routed 10G bit/sec Ethernet interface;

* Lucent's high-density APX 8100 universal gateway, which is designed to enable service providers to deliver dial-up IP remote access and voice over IP services for their business and residential customers;

* Nortel's addition of software to its Shasta 5000 Broadband Services Node that enables the box to terminate IPSec VPN tunnels from the same VPN clients that are used with Nortel's Contivity gateways, and supports network-based virus scanning and intrusion detection;

* Sycamore Networks' enhancement to its SN 3000 grooming switch which conserves bandwidth by packing data onto the ring in 50M bit/sec increments. Without this capability, traffic may not fill up 155M bit/sec and 622M bit/sec pipes and bandwidth will be wasted.

* Extensions to Tellabs' 5500 and 6500 cross-connects that enable service providers to eliminate the need for stand-alone add/drop multiplexers at both the hub and end-office locations, and increase network density for operating cost and floor space reductions of 50% and 80%, respectively. Tellabs 5500 digital cross-connect systems currently handle 75% of all network traffic in the U.S.

A group of vendors also used the show to launch an initiative called the Service Creation Community. The group, which includes Microsoft, Siemens and ADC Telecommunications, is dedicated to documenting how to create specific services using specific gear, promoting interoperability among members' equipment, and creating demand for new services and their own products. The group demonstrated a video-on-demand service at the show built on products from 11 of its members.

But the alliances and product announcements did little to shift the focus of SuperComm away from preoccupation with survival during the current economic doldrums.

"A perfectly good company with revenues can have the rug pulled out from under them," says Telechoice's Briere.

Tim Greene contributed selflessly and magnanimously to this piece...

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Good talking on the Internet

By Tim Greene
11:32 AM EST

I talked to a guy in Sweden over the Internet and the call was clearer than my cell phone.

The call was placed at a SuperComm 2002 demo booth from a SIP phone to another SIP phone at the headquarters of a company called HotSIP, which makes SIP server software. They guy on the other end sounded like he was RIGHT THERE, and the delay was less than you get on a typical cell call or even some traditional international calls.

The Internet service provider on this end was Level3. The phone was connected to the Internet via an ethernet link to an OC-12 fiber ring in downtown Atlanta, so there was probably very little delay or packet loss on this end. I don't know what the story was in Sweden.

It was just one demo (and who knows where that Swedish guy reallly was) but it belies the notion that you must get high-priced guaranteed levels of IP service to do intelligible IP voice calls. The call I was on was good enough to transact business with a partner and certainly good enough for an in-company phone call. Especially an international one, which can be expensive.

You might want to check out a cheap way to test voice over the Internet to see if it could be useful to you.

How cool was that? 6 (+/-) | Comment on this
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Regulations

By Tim Greene
10:27 AM EST

Perhaps it's just that Congress happens to be taking up broadband policy legislation right now, but there is a constant drumbeat here at SuperComm 2002 that federal regulations are standing in the way of broadband service deployments.

And, the beat goes, stalled broadband deployments are standing in the way of a high-tech recovery. Without fat pipes to the Internet, customers will never buy the streaming, interactive services that will prompt more sales of networking gear and software, thereby helping to stimulate the economy.

At the Broadband Showdown run by Network World at SuperComm 2002, the representative of SBC took every opportunity to mention that federal regulations stand in the way of SBC further deploying equipment that supports DSL. If SBC has to share that gear with competitors, as regulations require, it just doesn't make sense to install it in the first place, the argument goes.

And it's not just DSL. Some of the passive optical networking vendors and service providers as well say they won't go forward with deployment of that technology for the same reason.

If Congress buys the argument, it can't help but lift the regulations. If it doesn't, members face the political reality that their opponents in this fall's elections can claim they stood in the way of economic recovery. And there are a bunch of vendors who will likely back up the claims.

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A Supercomm Day 2 assessment from Goldman Sachs

By Jim Duffy
09:13 AM EST

On the 2nd day of SuperComm, there was no stock impacting news. The general theme continues to be weak carrier spending and low visibility. We believe there is risk that overall capex could be down seq. in Q2. While spending remains very constrained for the intermediate term, our conversations with carriers indicate that IP backbone traffic continues to grow 70-100% per year and priority areas of spending include IP routing and metro/access. The enterprise units of vendors appear to havemore stable biz trends and could experience moderate seq. growth.

Wednesday, June 5, 2002

Traffic barometer

By Tim Greene
08:32 AM EST

SuperComm is smaller this year than last if you measure by floor-space leased and the number of companies buying booths, and it feels smaller, too.

Two years ago, you had to elbow your way around the floor. Yesterday you would have to be recklessly inattentive to bump into somebody else. One bad sign: booth staff wandering over to neighboring booths to chat in the early afternoon because things were so slow at their own.

Notice of this lighter attendance is spilling out into the City of Atlanta itself. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, which has had at least one automobile-traffic story for the past three days, says this morning that traffic jams expected because of the show didn't materialize. A spokeswoman for SuperComm says perhaps fewer people are driving to the show and instead are using the subway and show-supplied shuttle buses. Hmm. This show has been in Atlanta for years; it's unlikely people just figured out this year that driving to it can be a hassle.

The traffic-obsessed Atlanta Journal-Constitution predicted that Thursday will bring a traffic perfect storm, the confluence of SuperComm closing about the same time the afternoon Atlanta Braves baseball game lets out. They may have made the prediction too early.

One hotel reported it had one SuperComm guest yesterday and expected one more. Last year it had 98.

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Tuesday, June 4, 2002

Supercomm, Day 1

By Jim Duffy
10:07 PM EST

Exhibit halls 1/4 empty...

Light traffic on the show floor...

Empty up and down escalators to and from the exhibit halls...

If you hate crowds, you'll love Supercomm 2002. It may feel good to have some room, but boy, it doesn't feel good if your livelihood is linked to the health of this industry. It doesn't look good either.

Some of my thoughts on Supercomm's first day. Please share some of yours here too. Finally, here are some from Bill Lesieur, director of Technology Business Research in Hampton, NH, which read like An Ode to a Downtrodden Industry. Bill may be the Alan Ginsburg of our industry...

With the telecom world bouncing around the bottom of
the market, SuperComm this week will set the tone for
the industry recovery in 2003 and beyond.

The telecom industry is faced with decreased
competition and consolidation, an uncertain regulatory
environment and a closed capital market.

FUD [Fear, Uncertainty & Doubt] pervades the massive
SuperComm telecom industry trade show.

The telecom world is preparing to rise from the ashes as a
new kind of industry that has been forever changed by
IP technology and the Internet boom years.

SuperComm 2002 [show floor] is about too many
companies selling the same stuff to too many service
providers with crashed business models.

SuperComm 2002 [show floor] is about too many
companies selling the same products to too few service
providers willing to buy anything [from anybody].

New leaders will emerge from the ashes of the telecom
industry meltdown and economic recession, while many
other companies will have grave regrets two years from
now for not more aggressively crafting a future in a
new kind of telecom industry.

New leaders will emerge from the ashes of the telecom
industry meltdown, while many other companies will
perish in their fear and paralysis.

Few companies successfully emerge from a recession
doing business in the same way with the same products;
so many telecom companies will need to quickly
redefine themselves to survive.

Irrational underspending by service providers will
last another year, which will be likely be followed by
renaissance of technological innovation in 2004 and
2005 by the “new” telecom industry.


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Service Creation Community

By Tim Greene
04:04 PM EST


A handful of vendors and analysts has launched a group called the Service Creation Community with the intention of helping service providers roll out new services faster.

So far they have just sketched out what they plan to do:

= Design templates for delivering new services.

= Resolve interoperability issues among members' gear.

= Create demand for new services.

= Create demand for their own products.

Companies involved include: ADC Telecommunications, AirFiber, AMS, Array Networks, Com21, C-Plane, Convedia, EurekaSoft, Infonautics Consulting, Kabira Technologies, Maranti Networks, Microsoft, net.com, Paradyne, PingTel, Polycom, Siemens, StarVox and TeleChoice.

The Service Creation Community is demonstrating a video on demand service here at SuperComm that includes gear from 11 of the members and say they are discussing more during the show. They even have a Web site www.servicecreation.org that you can check out.

Historically, this type of consortium pops up from time to time and runs out of steam in a year or two, but the point man for the group, net.com's president and CEO Bert Whyte, says that won't be the case here. He urges people to keep them active. "Demand demonstrations. Ask 'What has the Service Creation Community done for me lately?" Whyte said.


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MPLS: Real Solution or Just Propaganda?

By Jim Duffy
02:26 PM EST

Let's generate some discussion... MPLS is a real hot topic here at Supercomm. Probe Research distributed the following assessment today of this widely debated technology. After reading through Probe's thoughts, please feel free to offer some of your own...

MPLS: Real Solution or Just Propaganda?

To date, there has been considerable hype surrounding MPLS, which has been promoted as a panacea to solve most of the networks' ills. As an enabling technology with quality of service capability, it simply attempts to overlay circuit-switched operation and benefits onto a packet-switched network. However, some engineers argue that in bringing circuit and packet switching together, MPLS fails to do either very well and runs the risk of failing to live up to its highly touted expectations.

Richard Endersby, Vice President, Internet Access and Edge Infrastructure for Probe Research, is cautiously optimistic. "MPLS faces a hard, but winnable battle. It is easy to overestimate the benefits from converging networks. Timescales can be long, integration costs can be very high, engineers need training… the list is endless. However, successful deployments of MPLS indicate that with the correct infrastructure and right approach, a business model can be based on MPLS. Equant has recently announced its 5,000th IP VPN customer based on MPLS, indicating that scalability problems may not be as bad as suggested. Nevertheless, it would be wrong to suggest that wholesale replacement of existing ATM and Frame Relay networks will happen overnight. On the contrary, a move to 100% IP/MPLS will not be anything other than a long, evolutionary process – if it happens at all."

Based on his detailed analysis of MPLS history, applications, vendor initiatives and competitive standards, Endersby has introduced a segmentation of operators that is based on their customer bases and existing assets in their networks. He believes each category of player has a differing opinion of and approach to MPLS in their networks and proposes the following classifications:

Lawyers and Accountants: Companies characterized by a wide variety of networks, protocols and even engineering divisions to support. With a wide customer base and driven by regulation, he believes these companies are risk-adverse by nature and require convincing of the viability of MPLS in their networks.

MBAs: These are established operators whose networks are optimized for voice and video transmission and based on ATM/Frame Relay. With revenues to protect and sophisticated user bases, these providers view MPLS primarily as a defense against the Technologists and Revolutionaries, while holding out the option to move to an IP infrastructure in the future.

Technologists: Targeting the enterprise with a mix of data-oriented services, these are greenfield operators that recently built their networks and are focused on wholesale and/or large enterprise customers. With low existing revenues and no revenue base of any size to protect, these providers are aggressive adopters of MPLS.

Revolutionaries: These are operators that are building access to residential or small and medium-sized business properties. They have greenfield networks and no significant revenues to defend and seek to disrupt an existing market by offering to undercut the incumbent supplier with low-cost connectivity. However, as CapEx spending by these providers is low, this segment is not an especially attractive target.

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Craig in Black

By Tim Greene
01:23 PM EST

Who says Intel’s CEO Craig Barrett is a geeky former professor?
At his SuperComm 2002 keynote today, they showed a video of him arriving at Intel headquarters in California dressed in a black suit and wraparound sunglasses. He sits down at a stark workstation, presses one button and he vaporizes. His vapor disappears up a network cable, and the video follows his path through telecom wiring across the U.S. to Atlanta, where he rematerializes. Then his shadow appears on a curtain onstage at the actual conference auditorium and he walks out, still wearing the shades. What great technology. What a cool guy.
Not so cool was the three product demos that he squeezed into the middle of the keynote. Craig, you’re supposed to be a visionary, not a pitchman. Save the demos for the booth.

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Cisco broadens 10G support

By Jim Duffy
12:42 PM EST

ATLANTA -- Cisco Systems today unveiled new interfaces for the 12000 Series Internet Routers based on Ethernet and Dynamic Packet Transport /Resilient Packet Ring (DPT/RPR) technologies.

For Ethernet , Cisco rolled out single port 10 Gigabit Ethernet (GbE) router line card. Cisco also introduced 10 Gigabit DPT/RPR line cards for packet-optimized ring architectures.

The interfaces are intended to enable service providers to scale their Ethernet infrastructures and deploy 10G bit/sec bandwidth in more places than they could before, Cisco says.

Since its introduction five years ago, Cisco has deployed over 20,000 12000 series routers worldwide, the company says.

The one-port 10 Gigabit Ethernet line card starts at $175,000. There are two 10G bit/sec DPT/RPR interfaces: a one-port OC-192/STM-64 DPT line card starts at $150,000, and a four-port OC-48/STM-16 DPT line card starts at $240,000.

How cool was that? 3 (+/-) |
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Monday, June 3, 2002

You are your car

By Tim Greene
01:52 PM EST

Networking your car seems peripheral to SuperComm, but nevertheless was the topic of a talk this morning.

Anthony Scott, the CTO of Information Systems and Services at General Motors, says so much information technology gear will be in your car soon that it may require everyone to authenticate to whatever vehicle you travel in.

The advent of OnStar service linking your car to an operations center that monitors your location and the condition of the vehicle means the service will want to know who is in the car, too, in case of emergency.

For instance, whenever an airbag deploys in an OnStar car, OnStar reports the deployment and the vehicle location to the local 911 agency. They'd also like to be able to tell the emergency personnel who is in the car and to describe their particular medical histories.

Scott says that because these cars have global positioning equipment aboard, spouses have been calling up to find out where their husbands or wives are. So far, that is not a service OnStar offers, he says, but the same capability has enabled police to nab car thieves more quickly.

Internet access is coming to cars soon, Scott says, and the automotive industry is trying to figure out how that can be done safely so drivers aren't distracted by browsing or live chat. The goal is to make the Internet available to passengers without creating a safety problem.


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What enterprises need

By Tim Greene
01:33 PM EST


SuperComm's opening panel this morning featured top IT executives from major companies talking about what they see as future challenges. Some key needs:

= Building networks that are friendly to collaboration but remain secure amid increasing threats.

= Revamping networks to fit a global plan rather than a series of local networks.

= Providing varying levels of service quality to fit individual applications.

= Provisioning bandwidth in real time as needed.

= Managing bandwidth use so top priority traffic is never pinched off by less important traffic.

= Pushing broadband network access to as many sites as possible.

= Deploying wireless technology widely.

= Getting better service management from carriers.

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Friday, May 31, 2002

A funny thing happened on the way to the conference

By Adam Gaffin
11:50 AM EST

Welcome to Network World Fusion's exclusive Superblog. Starting Monday, June 3, Edge Managing Editor Jim Duffy and Senior Editor Tim Greene will use this new medium to post news updates, analysis and comments directly from the show. Come back on Monday, read their postings and let us know what you think.

How cool was that? 4 (+/-) | Comment on this
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