jim_duffy
Managing Editor

Broadband growing steadily

Opinion
Apr 19, 20052 mins

* U.S. broadband market expected to reach an estimated 56.9 million subscribers by 2008

The U.S. broadband market is expected to reach an estimated 56.9 million subscribers by 2008, growing from 32.5 million subscribers in 2004, according to the Telecommunications Industry Association (TIA).

The broadband market has grown substantially since 2001, when there were only 5.1 million subscribers, the firm reports.

In 2004, the number of high-speed subscribers in the U.S. grew by 35.4% to 32.5 million subscribers, consisting of the following access technologies: cable modem (17.0 million); DSL (12.6 million); fixed wireless (2.2 million); fiber-to-the-home (0.2 million); satellite (0.4 million); mobile wireless (3G) (0.1 million); and broadband over power line (less than 50,000).

Faster speeds are driving demand for cable modem and DSL, according to TIA. With telephone companies becoming more aggressive in rolling out bundled DSL services and cable operators losing subscribers to direct broadcast satellite, the gap between cable and DSL narrowed in 2004 and will continue to decrease through 2008, the firm reports.

In 2005, for example, DSL subscribership is expected to grow 19.8% compared to cable modems at 17.1%. 

Even with fewer subscribers, DSL leads in service revenue and will grow at a 14.3% compound annual rate to $13.6 billion in 2008 from $8 billion in 2004. This growth will be fueled by a 14.6% CAGR in DSL subscribership, from 12.6 million in 2004 to 21.7 million in 2008, TIA states.

Cable modem service revenue, on the other hand, will expand at a 6.1% CAGR from $8.6 billion in 2004 to $10.9 billion in 2008.