Yes, it's that time of the year again. Another year gone by, which means another batch of predictions for the future.\nAs is always the case, I own up to my misfires by leading off with the predictions I made last year and admitting what came true and what didn't. So, let's get that out of the way.\nMy 2017 predictions: some hits, some misses\n\nApple continues to lose its cool. \u2014 I think I got this one right.\u00a0iPhone 8\/X sales are not what they were expected to be, the list of complaints is growing and more and more people say the company has fallen behind. Hell, even I switched to a Galaxy after frustration with the poor quality of iOS 11.\n\n\nCloud adoption will slow. \u2014 Oh, boy, did I blow that one.\n\n\nSome tech manufacturing will return to the U.S. \u2014 I don\u2019t know about tech, although I did see Microsoft has moved Surface manufacturing to China. But overall, manufacturing has gained 138,000 jobs in 2017 vs. a loss of 34,000 in 2016. And we all know who will take credit for that.\n\n\nChina will lose its luster as a manufacturing hub. \u2014 Clearly that has not happened.\n\n\nThe Internet of Things (IoT) will continue to spin its wheels. \u2014 There appears to be considerable buildout of edge networks to accommodate IoT. And more and more tech is making its way into cars. So, IoT is happening \u2014\u00a0just not at a revolutionary pace.\n\n\nAMD comes back big. \u2014 Oh, yes, definitely. Sales are up and the Epyc server chip is scoring big wins.\n\n\nAugmented reality (AR) will grow faster than virtual reality. \u2014 True, thanks to the success of Pokemon Go, the first killer app of AR.\n\n\nNet neutrality will suffer setbacks. \u2014 Duh.\n\n\nWindows 10 will continue to sell better to consumers. \u2014 Guess I missed the mark on this one. Net Applications put Windows 10 at 23 percent in December 2016 vs. 47.7 percent for Windows 7. One year later, Windows 10 is at 32 percent, while Windows 7 is at 43 percent. So, Windows 10 gained nine percentage points, while Windows 7 only lost four percentage points. Obviously, Win10's gains came at the expense of older XP machines and Windows 7 hangs on.\n\n\nAmazon and Microsoft will continue to dominate the cloud. \u2014 Not a hard prediction to make, although Google is making a charge.\n\n13 tech predictions for 2018\nOK, on to my predictions for 2018:\n1. Serverless computing takes off. \u2014 This one is easy to make. It\u2019s bubbling like a cauldron with tremendous interest, and development is racing along. Once people get past the misleading name and realize its benefits, it will take off.\n2. Google gains ground. \u2014 It won\u2019t take market share away from Amazon and Microsoft, but Google will finally give people a viable choice instead of either\/or. Diane Greene is revamping the way Google deals with customers, and having Cisco as a partner can only help.\n3. Edge computing will continue to increase. \u2014 With growth in IoT, increased data consumption by mobile devices, and the rise of highly distributed applications in the enterprise, compute will need to be spread out. While it\u2019s one thing to build massive data centers, some things will require a more balanced approach.\n4. Two big gains for artificial intelligence (AI). \u2014 One of AI\u2019s major uses will be in areas where it can respond faster, such as intrusion detection. It\u2019s no longer enough for a firewall to send an alert to an admin of suspicious behavior; AI will detect it and act before an admin can come back from a bathroom break. The other major use will be to fix or correct things that might otherwise be caused by human error. Even the most cautious eyes can fail. AI cannot. Unless it\u2019s programmed badly. By a human.\n5. Big data becomes smaller. \u2014 A recent study out of MIT found big data often means bad data. And with data sets growing into exabytes, companies are finally going to become more picky about the data they collect and keep and start discarding more.\n6. The rise of smart cities. \u2014 IoT will have its chance to shine in \u201csmart cities,\u201d with things like intelligent street lights and bus stops, autonomous public transport, traffic reporting, weather, and other quality-of-life issues. The only limit on this will be whether cities have the money for such technology.\n7. SSD takes off in the enterprise. \u2014 Two things are set to happen: a major jump in capacity and the ability to fully support SSDs in a virtual environment. Those two combined will make SSDs viable, not just as a fast cache between memory and traditional hard disk storage but as regular storage. And right now, there is plenty of supply of NAND flash, so the prices will stay low.\n8. Companies continue to find a balance with the cloud. \u2014 With so many companies making a U-turn and bringing apps back on premises after moving to the cloud, IT will finally stop blindly lifting and bringing everything to the cloud and carefully evaluate what goes to the cloud and what does not.\n9. White box servers win over IT. \u2014 Right now, off-brand server vendors such as Quanta and SuperMicro are popular with hyperscale data centers from Amazon and Facebook, but IT is still going with Dell and HPE. Expect to see that change in 2018 as the off-brand servers gain the attention of IT.\n10. Hyperconverged moves to hyperspace. \u2014 Hyperconverged systems \u2014 fully integrated servers with storage, virtualization and software-defined everything pre-build and pre-configured \u2014 are already taking off like a shot and will continue to accelerate. The pendulum has swung from customers not wanting vendor lock-in to gladly accepting vendor lock-in if they can get a turnkey solution that\u2019s up and running fast. And Dell is running away with this market thanks to having EMC and VMware under its roof.\n11. Data center shutdowns decelerate. \u2014 For a while, IT was obsessed with getting out of running its own data center. Some harsh lessons later, and they are realizing you can\u2019t put everything on Amazon Web Services (AWS). Your data warehouse, for example. So, IT will begrudgingly hold on to the data centers it has, albeit with a smaller commitment.\n12. Intel buys Marvell. \u2014 Marvell is already poised to be a major ARM player with the Cavium purchase. This will bring around Intel, which is looking for new revenue growth and a chance to get into the ARM business. Qualcomm and Nvidia will throw a fit, and rightfully so, but this administration doesn\u2019t seem to have a trust busting nature.\n13. Water cooling continues to grow. \u2014 What started out as a means for hobbyists to overclock their systems will turn into a legitimate form of cooling in data centers. Air can only cool so much, and with rack density increasing, something else is needed. Water is hundreds of times more efficient than air and ideal for these massive new server chips with up to 32 cores.